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Everyone's focused on the unlock. But the bigger question is: how much of that risk is already priced in? For traders short $SPCX , the 100 level is the key support to watch. From 110, that would require roughly another 9–10% decline. Yes, IPO unlocks often bring selling pressure as early investors gain liquidity. But history also shows that unlocks don't automatically trigger a prolonged downtrend. Here's the context: - The stock has already fallen 15.4%, from 130 to 110. - After a two-day rebound, earnings pushed it briefly higher before sellers took control and drove it sharply lower with almost no meaningful bounce. - That's an aggressive move, and markets rarely move in a straight line forever. Could there be more selling tonight? Absolutely. But unless the selling accelerates significantly, much of the near-term pressure may already be reflected in the price. If the fundamentals remain intact and institutional demand or index-related buying emerges, buyers are likely to step back in. The unlock is a catalyst—but it's not the whole story. #Earnings #IPO #Unlock #Stocks #Trading #DailyOrbit