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The Ethereum weekly chart hasn't completed its downward trend 📉
1500 is likely to be broken again!
This time I'm not looking at the 15-minute minor fluctuations.
I directly look at the weekly chart structure.
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The current price is still below the 1978 level of the weekly MA20 and the 2077 level of the MA30.
It was pulled from 1503 to around 1900.
More like a rebound from oversold conditions
It is not a trend reversal.
Even 2000 can't be recovered.
The weekly high is still continuously declining.
MA5 is also pressing the price near 1863.
The truly critical position is between 1800 and 1760.
Among them, the weekly MA10 is near 1769.
Once the weekly chart effectively breaks below this level...
It is likely to directly retest 1600 and 1503.
And 1500 has already been tested once.
When I went back again
The buying power may not be as strong as it was the first time.
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The Federal Reserve's latest meeting continued to keep interest rates at 3.5%–3.75%.
Inflation remains above the 2% target.
Even three members directly supported a 25 basis point rate hike.
High interest rates coupled with expectations of further rate hikes
It is clearly unfriendly to high-volatility risk assets like ETH.
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Ethereum spot ETFs have recently experienced fluctuating capital flows.
Net outflow of $70.7 million on July 24.
On July 29, another $32.9 million was leaked.
In the following two days, although it turned into inflow...
But only $12.8 million and $9 million.
This amount of capital is far from sufficient to prove that the institution is making a large-scale bottom-fishing move.
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The average funding rate for ETH perpetual contracts remains positive.
Approximately 0.0045%
It indicates that there are still a significant amount of leveraged funds in the market betting on a rebound.
If 1800 is breached
Stop-loss orders and margin calls can easily lead to a chain reaction of panic selling.
Directly drive the price down to 1600 or even 1500.
ETH/BTC is currently only about 0.02955.
It indicates that Ethereum remains in a weaker position compared $E
快照时间：2026年8月03日 18:32
