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Jackson king
đđđFear and Greed Index 25đđđ, but BTC hasn't dropped, which do you believe?
It's past midnight and I'm still refreshing the market, not because the market is exciting, but because I'm too bored to sleep.
BTC is at 65,100, fluctuating only a few hundred dollars over the weekend. But the Fear and Greed Index is 25âextreme fear. This combination is quite strange: people are this scared, yet the price is holding steady without collapsing.
This suggests two possibilities. Either fear has bottomed out, those who wanted to sell have already sold, and the rest are holding on stubbornly without plans to move. Or it's the calm before the storm, and the price hasn't yet reacted to the sentiment.
I used to believe "a low Fear and Greed Index is a buy-the-dip signal," but I jumped in when the index was 18 and kept buying down to 12. The index can tell you about sentiment, but not timing. It can stay in the fear zone for a month.
Whatâs more divided now is the funding rate. Across the network, itâs only 0.006%, almost zero. Longs are paying shorts, but very reluctantlyâmeaning those going long arenât confident and are just holding on.
I checked open interest; 750,000 BTC contracts are still open. Thatâs a significant number. CPI data comes out in two days, and these 750,000 BTC positions are either making a lot or losing a lotâthereâs no middle ground.
My thought is: fear + price not dropping = support, but it doesnât mean a rise is coming. Wednesdayâs CPI is the real trump card; before itâs revealed, all judgments are guesses.
"The market is indeed cheaper when fearful, but cheap doesnât mean it will rise tomorrowâit can get cheaper."
I placed two orders: buy long at 63,800, chase if it breaks 65,300. No position in between; no rush.
Do you think a Fear and Greed Index of 25 is a buy-the-dip signal or a danger signal? $BTC $ETH #ç°èާETFè”éćæ”ïŒBTCäžETHèœćŠæ„ćïŒ #AIMemorySelloffEases #BTCETHETFInflowsReturn #SpaceXShortCovering
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