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Ana insights
đš Credit markets are starting to worry about Big Techâs debt load.
Oracleâs $BTC ORCL 5-year credit default swap (CDS) has surged +70 bps YTD to a record ~215 bps â the largest increase among Big Tech.
Broadcom $ETH AVGO follows with a +48 bps increase.
Meanwhile:
âą $META CDS: +39 bps â ~95 bps, highest since trading began
âą $SNXX VDA CDS: +32 bps â ~82 bps, highest since trading began
âą $AMZN CDS: +30 bps
âą $GOOGL CDS: +29 bps
The bigger picture is even more interesting.
Big Tech has issued roughly $200B in corporate bonds this year, nearly twice the total issued during all of 2025.
Markets are starting to ask a serious question:
How expensive will the AI arms race become to finance? đ
Rising CDS spreads suggest investors are demanding more compensation for the growing credit risk â especially as AI-related capex and debt issuance continue to accelerate.#PayrollsDropCPIFocus #AIMemoryStressTest #SpaceXUnlockRebound
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