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đš NVIDIA CEO JENSEN HUANG: âNO CHIP BUST FOR A WHILEâ â âTHIS TIME IS DIFFERENTâ
Jensen Huang believes the chip industry still has massive room to growâpotentially 5â10x from here.
But the numbers raise some serious questions.
Look at NVIDIAâs revenue concentration:
âĄïž Meta â 21%
âĄïž OpenAI / Oracle â 17%
âĄïž xAI â 16%
That means just three major customers account for roughly 54% of NVIDIAâs total revenue.
Meanwhile:
đ° 2026 hyperscaler capex â $785B
đ° 2027 forecast â Nearly $1T
đ TSMC capex â $60â64B
đ Intel capex â $20B
đ U.S. chip factory utilization â Only 72.2%
Trillions of dollars are being invested based on continued AI demand from a relatively small group of mega-companies.
That creates a major concentration risk.
If even one or two hyperscalers slow their AI spending or cut capex, the entire semiconductor growth narrative could change rapidly.
Jensen may be right that this isnât a traditional chip bust.
But the industry doesnât need a full collapse.
All it takes is for spending growth to slow.
And when expectations are this high, even a slowdown could trigger a major repricing across the entire chip sector.
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