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Zainab922
$IREN AI‑infra valuation math gets wild when you run it forward.
Using today’s ARR baselines and the typical EV/ARR compression as scale kicks in (≈ 6.5× → 6× → 5.5×), the curve looks like this:
2026:
• ARR: $4.3B
• EV: ~$28B
• Implied mcap: $25–32B
• Share price math: ~$70–90
2027:
• EV ramps to $72–90B
• Implied mcap: $70–95B
• Price math: ~$160–230
2028:
• EV pushes $110–140B
• Implied mcap: $105–145B
• Price math: ~$230–350
This assumes moderate dilution, expansion funding, and net‑cash improvement — nothing heroic.
The real swing factors: execution, GPU supply/pricing & capital‑market risk appetite.
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