
Post
Katherine smil
Had coffee last night with a friend who runs market making. What he said flipped how I see this market. 🧠
His take: forget the headlines. Watch token supply flow.
What the data says:
- $BTC spot liquidity is thinning. Post-halving, new daily issuance is ∼50% less than last cycle.
- $ETH staking is locked up tight, and with fee burns it’s often deflationary.
- $SOL makers are quietly building positions.
- For most alts, the heavy unlocks are over. Old VC rounds are dripping out tens of thousands a week now — not enough to move price. 📉
That’s the base for a real trend. Before we were sideways waiting on unlocks. Now the riverbed is dry, but water is slowly rising.
$BTC holding above 60k. $ETH testing resistance. $SOL refusing deep dips. Alts printing higher lows.
Next 6–12 months: tightening supply + new capital = a different kind of cycle. Not everything pumps together, but this doesn’t end fast either. 🚀
My play: scale in slowly. Buy the left side, confirm on the right, then add.
What scares me isn’t a crash. It’s FOMO — watching others profit and yoloing rent money into one coin for a 100x.
Stay patient. Follow the flow, not the noise.
#DailyOrbit #30YrYieldTopOrStart
#USJapanYenIntervention
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