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ANGRYMARK!💸
ANGRYMARK!💸
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AWS在印钞,但资本开支在吞现金 AWS营业利润 166亿美元,大约贡献了集团营业利润的 六成; 但另一边,Amazon过去12个月经营现金流 1614亿美元,物业与设备资本开支同比增加 661亿美元,自由现金流却被压到 -76亿美元。 这正是当下AI交易最值得看的矛盾:利润端是AWS在发电,现金流端是算力和基础设施在吃钱。 市场愿意继续给高估值,不是因为大家忽视了烧钱,而是因为它相信这轮支出会换来更大的云、广告和AI收入池。 谁在AI周期里收钱,谁又在提前垫钱,这才是板块轮动的关键。 #AI巨头债券利差飙升:投资风险还是抄底良机 #谷歌为AI数据中心债务兜底,换取两成股权
ANGRYMARK!💸
ANGRYMARK!💸
US Stock Daily | August 3 | Oil Prices Recede, AI Trading Faces Second Trial
US stocks looked strong last Friday, but internally it didn't look like a broad bull market. The S&P 500 rose 0.70%, the Nasdaq gained 1%, and the Dow Jones rose 0.53%; However, among S&P components, the number of declining stocks was still 1.3 times that of advancing stocks. The index was supported by a handful of giants, and the market breadth did not keep up. The chart shows Friday's closing data, in order: SP500, Nasdaq 100, All stocks. Amazon$AMZN is at the center of this rally. Its stock price rose 15.25% in a single day to $271.58, while Google$GOOGL, Microsoft$MSFT, and Nvidia$NVDA rose 6.71%, 3.01%, and 2.99% respectively. Amazon posted its fastest quarterly revenue growth in over four years, easing investors' concerns about runaway spending on AI data centers. The market is accepting massive capital expenditures, but with a more stringent condition: computing power must quickly translate into cloud revenue and profit. Apple$AAPL offers the opposite case. The company warned that supply constraints could drag on growth, causing the stock price to drop 7.14% to $308.91. Historical performance is no longer enough; what the market wants is visibility for the next quarter. The split between Amazon and Apple shows that current valuations reward not the "big tech" identity, but companies that can prove future growth. The problem is, US stocks are still not cheap. The S&P 500 is currently about 20 times its expected earnings for the next 12 months,

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