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挖矿的小羊
挖矿的小羊
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全球最大比特币企业财库开始亏本卖币了——你还在无脑囤? 如果让你管理一家公司的财库,账上躺着84万枚比特币——占总供应量的4%——你会怎么操作? 死拿不放,还是看情况灵活调整? 曾经有个人给了你一个斩钉截铁的答案:永远不卖。 现在这个人反悔了。 8月10日,Strategy向SEC提交文件:上周以均价64,262美元卖出1,690枚比特币,套现1.086亿美元。 全部拿去回购STRC优先股。 这笔交易,亏了1,880万美元。 更扎心的是——这已经不是第一次了。过去六周,Strategy累计卖出6,916枚BTC,套现4.29亿美元。 六周前,他们的持仓是847,363枚。现在,840,447枚。 全球最大的比特币企业财库,正在以亏损的价格,持续减仓。 有人会说:不就卖了1690枚吗?占总持仓的0.2%都不到,大惊小怪。 但问题不在这里。 问题在于——"永远不卖"这四个字,从公司词典里删掉了。 今年6月,Strategy宣布改革融资模式:董事会授权出售比特币,用于美元储备、优先股股息和股份回购,规模最高可达12.5亿美元。 CEO Phong Le的原话是:"我们现在的定位是比特币的中央银行。" 翻译成人话:以前我是死多头,现在我是做市商。 从"只买不卖"到"动态管理"——这个转身,比币价涨跌重要一万倍。 但有趣的是——Strategy在卖,别人在买。 Strive,二季度增持6,236枚BTC,上半年累计买入12,237枚。 总持仓突破20,000枚,企业比特币持仓排名升至第七。 BitMine,一边推进40亿美元股票回购计划,一边继续买ETH。 上周又买了7,430枚ETH。 同一个市场,有人在卖,有人在买。企业财库正在从"所有人都囤"变成"各走各路"。 那问题来了——如果你来管这个财库,你怎么选? 长期持有派会说:BTC长期看涨,短期波动不重要。Strategy现在的平均成本是75,385美元,浮亏86亿美元。但如果你相信BTC十年后100万,现在这点浮亏算什么? 灵活管理派会说:公司不是个人钱包,有工资要发、有债要还、有股东要交代。账上400多亿美金浮亏、现金储备46.5亿美元——万一再来一次熊市,拿什么扛? 两边的道理都对。 但真正的答案比这复杂得多。 说句实在话—— 长期持有的前提是:你扛得住。 Strategy浮亏86亿美元还能继续运营,因为它有融资能力、有品牌溢价、有市场信任。换成普通公司,浮亏86亿早就破产了。 长期持有不是策略,是特权。 你有这个特权吗? 如果没有,就别学大户死拿。人家的仓位是你的1000倍,但人家的容错空间是你的10000倍。 这轮企业财库的分化,其实揭示了一个更底层的东西—— BTC作为"企业储备资产"这件事,正在从信仰变成数学。 以前是"买就完了"。现在要算:机会成本、流动性需求、资产负债表匹配、股东回报预期。 BTC不再是Saylor一个人的宗教,它变成了一门生意。 生意就得算账。算账就可能卖。 最后,给你三个判断—— 第一:Strategy不会停止卖币。12.5亿美元的授权额度才用了一小半,后面还有。 第二:但也不会清仓。840,447枚占总供应量4%,这个地位本身就是护城河。 第三:企业财库的"净买入"时代结束了。未来是增持、减持、回购、分红并存的多元格局。 对散户来说,这意味着什么? 意味着你不能再用"连Strategy都在买"作为你无脑囤币的理由了。 因为连Strategy自己,都不再用这个理由了。 $BTC $ETH $SOL #Strategy再卖1690枚BTC,企业财库出现分化
挖矿的小羊
挖矿的小羊
If even the world's largest Bitcoin die-hard bears are selling at a loss, can you still hold onto your BTC? On August 10, Strategy submitted a filing to the SEC. The data is painful: From August 3 to 9, they sold 1,690 BTC at an average price of $64,262, cashing out $108.6 million. All proceeds were used to repurchase STRC preferred shares. This is not the first time. In six weeks, they sold a total of 6,916 BTC, worth $429 million. They realized a cumulative loss of about $93.12 million. What was their cost basis? $75,385 per BTC. Now BTC is hovering around $65,000. They lose $11,000 on every coin sold. The man who once said "never sell" is now cutting losses. But the other side of the story is— Some are selling off heavily, while others are frantically buying. Strive increased its BTC holdings by 6,236 coins in Q2. They bought a total of 12,237 BTC in the first half of the year. Their total holdings rose to 20,167 BTC. BitMine continued to expand its ETH holdings in July while also repurchasing shares. One company is selling, two are buying. The corporate treasury logic is shifting from a single narrative of "only buying, never selling" to a new phase of "increasing holdings, selling, repurchasing, and cash management coexisting." So why is Strategy selling? Because they ran out of money. They posted a net loss of $8.2 billion in Q2. STRC preferred shares have been trading below the $100 par value, making new debt financing impossible. Dollar reserves need to be replenished to $4.65 billion. Preferred stock dividends must be paid, and debt interest must be serviced. They used to buy BTC by issuing stock; now they sell BTC to pay bills. At the end of June, the board authorized the sale of up to $1.25 billion in Bitcoin. So far, only $430 million has been sold. There is still over $820 million left to sell slowly. What’s really worth pondering is not how much Strategy lost. It’s that the narrative of "corporate Bitcoin treasury" itself is being redefined. What did the market believe before? "Company buys BTC = bullish on BTC = BTC will rise." The logic was simple and crude, but effective. Now? Companies can buy, sell, repurchase shares, and replenish cash simultaneously. Buying is a tool, selling is also a tool. BTC on corporate balance sheets has shifted from a "faith asset" to a "liquidity tool." This isn’t necessarily bad, but it’s definitely different from before. To be honest— Corporate treasuries are evolving from "one-way pumps" to "two-way regulators." What does this mean for the market? The good news: 840,447 BTC are still held by Strategy, accounting for 4% of total BTC supply. The bulk remains untouched. The bad news: If the financing environment continues to deteriorate, part of that 4% will slowly turn into sell pressure in the market. More importantly: Will other BTC-holding companies follow suit? Strive is buying, BitMine is buying, but Hyperscale Data is selling, and Trump media is reducing holdings. The divergence among companies is turning into a long-short game in the market. Finally, three questions for you: First, if Strategy keeps selling, will you panic and follow? Second, if Strive and BitMine keep buying, will you follow to bottom-fish? Third, when "never sell" turns into "sell when needed," how much faith do you still have in Bitcoin? $BTC $ETH $SOL #Strategy再卖1690枚BTC,企业财库出现分化

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