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Angel blake
The chip structure is reproducing the pattern seen before the FTX collapse, with Jiang Zhuoer warning that BTC may be about to complete the last drop of the bear market.
Many are still betting on a rebound, but the latest UTXO chip data already reveals strong risk signals. Coupled with the uncertainty of the US crypto legislation, the downside risk cannot be ignored.
Crypto analyst Murphy's updated URPD data is very alarming: 890,000 BTC are accumulated at the $63,000 price level, and 710,000 BTC at the $62,000 level. These two dense chip zones together account for nearly 8% of the circulating supply. Such a concentration of holdings at a single price point is very rare in the past two years of market activity. This highly clustered chip structure closely resembles the market characteristics before the 2022 FTX crash.
Chip clustering means price sensitivity will increase significantly. Once the market turns, the concentrated holdings will create concentrated selling pressure, triggering a rapid and intense market reshuffle—commonly referred to in the industry as violent chip redistribution. This is often a key turning point at the end of a bear market.
Leibit mining pool's Jiang Zhuoer also gave a clear bearish view, linking the chip structure analysis with the Clarity Act. If no consensus is reached in negotiations this week and the bill cannot be passed before Congress recesses, regulatory negative news will directly trigger the market, and Bitcoin is very likely to experience the last deep dip of the bear market.
On one hand, there is historically significant concentrated chip short momentum; on the other, there is a major regulatory negative variable with the bill. The double negative resonance severely amplifies the risk of heavy long positions at this stage.
Do you think the bill negotiations can pass smoothly and avoid this expected deep correction? #白宫回应将决定CLARITY法案下周能否投票 #30YYieldAt19YHigh #AMZNMissesButRallies #MSFT450BInADay
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