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ANGRYMARK!💸
ANGRYMARK!💸
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Microsoft’s Two-Speed CapEx 微软单季410亿美元资本开支,约三分之二、接近270亿美元流向CPU、GPU及其他短周期设备。 对微软来说,这是需要不断更新的成本; 对英伟达$NVDA 、美光$MU 、SK海力士$SKHY 、三星$SAMSUNG 和闪迪$SNDK 来说,却是持续扩大的收入池。 建筑可以使用25年,但HBM、DRAM、企业级SSD和计算设备仍要不断升级,AI资本周期远没有因一项折旧调整而结束。 #海力士业绩创纪录但不及预期,存储股剧烈波动 #微软单日市值增近4500亿,创美股纪录 #折旧年限延至25年,微软资本开支指引下调
ANGRYMARK!💸
ANGRYMARK!💸
Capital expenditure decreased by $15 billion, but Microsoft hasn't reduced a single AI data center
Microsoft has adjusted its 2026 capital expenditure forecast from $190 billion to $175 billion, but the company clearly stated that the actual investment plan has not been reduced. The $15 billion decrease mainly comes from changes in asset lifespan and lease classification. The reduction from $190 billion to $175 billion is enough to reassure any investor worried about AI spending getting out of control. After Microsoft released its financial report, the market quickly focused on two figures. Azure revenue grew by 43%, while the company's latest capital expenditure forecast for the 2026 calendar year is $15 billion less than three months ago. Faster cloud growth combined with a lighter investment bill is almost the best combination Wall Street could hope for. Figure 1 | Wall Street first votes for revenue realization. After Microsoft's earnings report, the stock price rose about 15.5% in a single day, increasing market value by nearly $450 billion; during the same period, Azure revenue grew 43%. Investors received faster cloud growth and an apparently lighter capital expenditure bill. Data source: Microsoft, Reuters. The problem is, Microsoft has not actually spent $15 billion less. The company said quite directly during the earnings call: excluding accounting classification changes, the original capital investment forecast has not changed. Data centers still need to be built, servers still need to be purchased, and power and cooling systems have not disappeared from the construction plans. The change lies in how long assets are expected to be used and which section of the financial report related leases should be recorded in. This is not a story of spending cuts. At least not yet. What has decreased is the capital expenditure line

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