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今日多 $ETH 的 3 个理由 20260801:
1️⃣ 相对 BTC 更强
$ETH 不是最强的绝对走势,但相对 $BTC 仍有韧性。数据截至 2026-08-01 07:00 UTC,$ETH 7 日价格从 $1,854.68 到 $1,868.49,上涨 +0.74%;同期 $BTC 7 日下跌 -1.49%。更关键的是,以 BTC 计价的 ETH 7 日上涨 +2.26%,说明市场仍在给 $ETH 相对溢价。
多 $ETH 的逻辑不是“追涨”,而是押注资金在主流资产里继续从 BTC 向 ETH 轮动。
2️⃣ ETF 资金流重新转正
现货 ETH ETF 的资金流给了多头一个基本面支撑。最近可结算的 ETF 数据显示:7 月 30 日净流入 $12.8M,7 月 31 日净流入 $9.0M;过去 5 个已结算交易日合计约 +$10.0M,虽然中间有 7 月 29 日 -$32.9M 的单日流出,但后两日连续转正。
3️⃣杠杆被清洗,但做多成本不高
过去 24 小时 Binance ETH 合约出现了明显的多头清洗:长仓清算约$17.57M,短仓清算约$1.50M。这说明昨晚回撤已经打掉一批高杠杆多头;如果价格能够守住$1,850-$1,855区域,反而更像“洗杠杆后的二次上车点”。
同时,Binance ETH/USDT 永续资金费率为0.002883% / 8h,年化约3.16%,不算过热;日线 RSI 约51.57,也不是典型超买区。
支持“低吸反弹”而不是“高位追多”:多头更希望看到清算后价格不再创新低。
3 Reasons to Be More Bullish on $ETH Today 20260731:
1️⃣ $ETH Shows Stronger Relative Strength Over the Past 30 Days
$ETH is currently not simply following the broader market but has clearly outperformed $BTC over the past month. Surf market data as of 2026-07-31 14:00 UTC shows $ETH rising from about $1,598 to $1,877 over 30 days, a gain of +17.48%; during the same period, $BTC gained +6.69%.
Strong assets are more likely to receive capital replenishment after a pullback or consolidation. If the market continues to recover risk appetite, $ETH is more likely to gain a resilience premium compared to $BTC.
2️⃣ ETF and Exchange Supply Structure Provide Support
There is still absorption on the spot side. $ETH ETF net inflows totaled about $338.4 million in July 2026, with 16 days of net inflows and 5 days of net outflows during the period; the latest settled trading day on 2026-07-30 saw a net inflow of $12.8 million. On 2026-07-31, ETF data is still marked as unsettled, so a zero inflow should not be interpreted as actual capital stagnation.
Meanwhile, on-chain exchange net flows are also skewed positive: from 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-30, total net flow across all exchanges was about -375,748 ETH, with 20 days of net outflows and 10 days of net inflows. Net outflows usually mean a reduction in tradable supply, which, if demand holds, makes price increases easier.
3️⃣ Contracts Are Not Overcrowded, Technical Structure Remains Bullish
The contract side shows no typical signs of "long overheating." Binance ETH/USDT perpetual funding rate as of 2026-07-31 13:43 UTC is -0.002107% per 8 hours, annualized about -2.31%, with open interest around $4.377 billion. Negative funding rates indicate the market is not uniformly chasing longs; if spot continues to hold, short covering could instead become an upward driver.
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