美国中期选举：两院控制权｜进行中
进行中
最后更新于 --
总交易量$238.67万
选项5
交易截止11月4日 12:00
概率走势
美国中期选举：两院控制权赔率
这个数字代表市场对该结果的隐含概率，完全由所有交易者的买卖行为决定，欧易不参与定价。65 意味着买一份「是」只需 65¢；结算时猜对可获 1xp，猜错则获得 0xp。
美国中期选举：两院控制权 结果总览
市场热门
民主党横扫两院63% 胜率
距开赛
13 天2026年11月4日
总交易量
$238.67万今日 ↑ 16.68万xp
规则说明
This market resolves Yes if the Republican Party controls the Senate and the Democratic Party controls the House following the 2026 U.S. midterm election, and No otherwise.
Senate control is determined by a majority of voting seats. If no party has a majority, control belongs to the party holding half of the voting seats and the Vice Presidency; if still ambiguous, it belongs to the party of the first selected President Pro Tempore of the incoming Congress.
House control is determined by a majority of voting seats. If no party has a majority, control belongs to the party of the first elected Speaker of the incoming Congress.
For the Senate, the count includes all regular and special elections determining representation in the incoming 120th Congress that, as of October 31, 2026, are scheduled for November 2026. A Senate vacancy with no November election scheduled as of that date is attributed to the most recent holder's party. For the House, the count includes all 2026 midterm elections electing voting members of the incoming 120th Congress.
A contested seat is attributed to the party under which the winning member was elected; a later party change or vacancy before Congress is organized does not change that attribution. A Senate seat not contested in this election is attributed to the party holding it on election day; a later party change or vacancy does not change that attribution.
An independent member counts for a party only after formally caucusing with it or publicly announcing an intention to do so. If the decision is unknown on election day, settlement may remain pending until the member's announcement. Without an announcement by that deadline, the member counts toward no party.
The Other outcome applies only if the final combined result is none of Democratic Senate/Democratic House, Democratic Senate/Republican House, Republican Senate/Democratic House, or Republican Senate/Republican House.
Resolution is based on official information from the relevant state election authorities and the United States Congress, together with a consensus of credible reporting where necessary.
The five outcomes in this Event are mutually exclusive, and exactly one resolves Yes.
相关赛事
常见问题
点击任意结果行，交易面板将自动同步。选择"是" (预测会发生) 或"否" (预测不会发生)，输入金额，点击"下单"。需要一个免费的欧易账号。结算时，每份正确的"是"份额可获得 64¢。持仓在市场收盘前持续有效。
可以。在 2026年11月4日 交易截止前，您随时可以在二级市场卖出份额，平仓价格以当时市场为准，可能高于或低于买入价。交易截止后只能等待结算。
免责声明
无需购买或付款。本活动为免费积分活动，并不涉及任何资金风险。本活动不构成买入、卖出或持有数字资产的要约或招揽，数字资产价格可能受剧烈波动影响。并非所有产品均于所有地区提供。相关条款及细则适用。
无需购买或付款。本活动为免费积分活动，并不涉及任何资金风险。本活动不构成买入、卖出或持有数字资产的要约或招揽，数字资产价格可能受剧烈波动影响。并非所有产品均于所有地区提供。相关条款及细则适用。
无需购买或付款。本活动为免费积分活动，并不涉及任何资金风险。本活动不构成买入、卖出或持有数字资产的要约或招揽，数字资产价格可能受剧烈波动影响。并非所有产品均于所有地区提供。相关条款及细则适用。