帖子

#Gold breaks above $4300, is the capital betting on rate cuts or safe haven? $XAU Gold has surged wildly, hitting $4339 yesterday, with a weekly gain of over 7%. Many are already discussing whether gold has entered a new super cycle? I think this gold rally is not just a simple technical breakout, but more like a global capital process of rediscovering safe assets. Why do I say this? First, U.S. employment data has clearly cooled down, and the market is starting to trade on expectations of a Fed pivot. Weaker employment means less pressure for rate hikes, putting pressure on the dollar and real interest rates, and gold’s favorite environment is low interest rates + weak dollar. Second, global market uncertainty remains very high. Geopolitical risks, energy prices, #PayrollsDropCPIFocus #AIMemoryStressTest #SpaceXUnlockRebound