帖子

16. The $SPCX pump didn't convince me—and now we know why. Price was pushed toward 130, late buyers jumped in, and the entire move has been erased back to 110. I entered around 110, so this is an important level for me. The first unlock at 9:30 tonight could bring another wave of volatility. The headline says 910M shares, but the real risk depends on how many holders actually sell. Even 100–200M shares could push the price toward 100–105. That's where we may see serious bottom-fishing. But with more unlocks in August and September, the market still has plenty of supply to digest. 17. $SPCX is approaching a critical moment. The morning rally looked like a bull trap, and the reversal has brought the price back to 110. I entered around 110 and watched the price briefly reach 130 before giving it all back. Now the first unlock at 9:30 tonight is the key event. The entire 910M shares won't necessarily be sold, but a 100–200M share sell-off could create significant downside pressure. A move toward 100–105 would then become possible. Panic could accelerate the drop, while bottom-fishers may wait for those levels. And the bigger picture includes more unlocks in August and September. 18. Don't let the $SPCX pump fool you. The market pushed price higher, attracted fresh entries, and then reversed back to 110. That's why I called the move a bull trap earlier. My entry was 110, and although it reached 130, the market has now returned to the same zone. Tonight's 9:30 unlock could be another major catalyst. 910M unlocked shares doesn't equal 910M shares sold. But if 100–200M shares are sold, 100–105 becomes a very reasonable downside target. Fear can create opportunity, but the unlock calendar still carries risk through August and September.