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Everyone is watching the unlock. Almost nobody is asking the real question: how much of the damage has already been priced in? For traders betting against $SPCX, the 100 level is the key support to watch. From the current 110 area, that implies roughly another 9–10% downside. Yes, IPO unlocks often create selling pressure as early investors finally gain liquidity. But history shows that unlock events alone don't automatically lead to a prolonged collapse. Consider what's already happened: • The stock has fallen 15.4%, dropping from 130 to 110. • After a brief two-day recovery, earnings initially pushed shares higher before sellers completely took over, triggering a sharp decline with almost no meaningful bounce. • That's an aggressive move—and markets rarely move in a straight line forever. Could there be another wave of selling tonight? Absolutely. But unless selling accelerates significantly from here, a large portion of the near-term risk may already be reflected in the price. If the underlying fundamentals remain intact and institutional demand or index-related buying starts to emerge, buyers could step back in sooner than many expect. The unlock is a catalyst. It's not the entire story. #SandiskBeatAndBuyback #CircleArcLaunch #EarningsRealityCheck #DailyOrbit