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Lio hunter
đš In just one month, the market's attitude toward the Federal Reserve has completely changed.
Remember a month ago?
The market was still worried: Will there be another rate hike in September?
Now, the script has started to reverse.
đ The probability of maintaining the interest rate in September has risen to about 64%.
July CPI year-on-year is 3.4%, core CPI 2.5%, combined with previously significantly weakening employment data, the reasons for the Fed to continue raising rates are rapidly diminishing.
This is the most important point to watch.
Because the market is never trading on "whether there is a rate hike or cut today," but rather:
Will future liquidity become more accommodative?
If rate hike expectations continue to fade, the next steps could be:
Dollar under pressure
âŹïž
US Treasury yields fall
âŹïž
Risk appetite for funds rises
âŹïž
BTC, US growth stocks, and gold regain investor attention
Especially BTC.
What BTC truly fears is not high interest rates themselves, but the market suddenly repricing "higher and longer."
That logic is now loosening.
So whatâs most worth watching next is not a single Fed statement, but:
Dollar + US Treasury yields + BTC capital flows.
If these three start to turn simultaneously,
then itâs not just a simple "no rate hike in September."
It could mean:
The market is front-running the next round of easing expectations.#7æCPI珊ćéąæïŒ9æèżäŒć æŻćïŒ $BTC #CPIEasesHikeBets #AIInfraEarningsWatch #Gold4400HavenBid
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