
Post
ilham_BNB
đš $BTC BOTTOM MAY NOT BE IN YET
Everyone is calling $60K the bottom.
But history suggests caution.
Previous cycle drawdowns:
âą 2017: ~$19K peak â -84%
âą 2021: ~$69K peak â -77%
âą 2025: ~$126K peak â roughly -50% so far
The 4-year cycle is still being watched closely:
2016 halving â 2017 peak
2020 halving â 2021 peak
2024 halving â 2025 peak
If the historical timing rhymes again, the real capitulation window may still be ahead.
A diminishing-drawdown model of roughly -71% from $126K would put BTC around $36K.
But price alone doesnât define a bottom.
Sentiment does.
When everyone is confidently buying the dip, that may not be capitulation yet.
The real bottom often arrives when even the strongest bulls lose conviction.
So Iâm watching:
đ Price structure
đ° Liquidity
đ Leverage
đš Market sentiment
Maybe $60K is the bottom.
Maybe it isnât.
The next major signal will be whether the market confirms itânot what everyone wants to believe.
NFA. DYOR.
$BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BitcoinCycle
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