
Post
(浩泽)
🔥 The market is NOT crashing — it’s rotating. 别急着追跌。
Right now, the biggest mistake is thinking that because some AI names are cooling off, the whole AI bull market is over.
Not really.
The S&P has already rallied nearly 500 points from the FOMC low, closing around 7757, and now it’s basically chilling in the 7700–7800 high-range.
看起来位置已经很高了,但 options structure 目前依然偏 bullish。
This week, Gamma is heavily concentrated around 7700–7800, with positive skew extending toward 8000. Capital flow is also interesting — mainly selling Puts + buying Calls.
简单说:
👉 下方有人接
👉 上方还有资金在押 breakout
👉 市场暂时没有明显的 panic
And VIX? Still under 15.
过去几个月一个很明显的 pattern:
每次 VIX 快速冲到 20附近,很快就被卖下来。
So unless volatility actually breaks out, I’d still treat a pullback as high-level consolidation, not automatically the start of a deep correction.
🔄 The real story right now: SECTOR ROTATION
现在最明显的不是全面上涨,而是 money rotation。
AI hardware 涨了一大段,现在开始休息。
Meanwhile:
💻 Software is taking over
🤖 Mag 7 remains strong
☁️ New Cloud is heating up
🚀 Space is getting attention
⚛️ Quantum is showing rebound potential
🪙 Gold is strengthening again
这才是现在市场真正有意思的地方。
Not everything needs to pump at the same time.
🧠 What about AI Infrastructure?
尤其是 MU。
MU 从高位回调不少,但目前更像是 bottoming + consolidation,并没有看到整个 AI Infrastructure thesis 被破坏。
只要关键 800–900 range 还能守住,我暂时不会轻易说 AI memory bull market is over.
For a real restart, I’d want to see MU reclaim and hold above the daily EMA 21.
换句话说:
Pullback ≠ Bull market over.
🪙 Gold also deserves attention
Gold 已经开始出现 bottoming signs。
GLD 重新站回关键 moving averages,并回到 400附近的重要区域。
Options flow 里面 Put Selling 也比较明显,说明下方仍然有一定 support。
短期我更倾向于 380–400 consolidation → 再寻找向上的机会。
🎯 My approach right now
I’m still leaning toward buying the dip, but NOT blindly chasing green candles.
Options income strategy:
S&P → Sell Puts
IWM → Sell Puts
GLD → Sell Puts
Longer-dated Puts → hedge tail risk
If you want more aggressive exposure, September 18 Calls could be interesting in selected sectors.
#DailyOrbit
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