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15. $SPCX is now a battle between fundamentals and supply. If earnings are strong and the unlock is absorbed smoothly, fundamentals could take control. But if sentiment weakens, the 910M-share supply can quickly become a source of panic. And no, unlocked shares don't automatically mean immediate selling. The market could see distribution over several days. That's why I remain cautious. The “I think it will recover” mindset trapped many buyers above $120. I exited at 105 and still have a small 0.3 short at 114. I'm waiting for confirmation instead of chasing volatility.