#SPCXStarshipDebate
About SPCXStarshipDebate
Uncertainty over SpaceX's Starship launch window and impending lockup expiration selling pressure after the IPO have split the SPCX community. Traders are polarized between those cutting losses and exiting versus holders insisting the valuation merits holding, sparking heated debate over whether to buy the dip or bail. The argument centers on bottom-fishing timing and valuation legitimacy. Until launch timing and lockup flows are resolved, SPCX will likely remain highly volatile,
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🚨 95% OF SPACEX HOLDERS HAVE NO IDEA WHAT'S COMING.
$SPCX has already dropped.
But the biggest wave of selling pressure may still be ahead.
Here's what most investors are ignoring:
Right now, only 4.9% of SpaceX shares are freely tradable.
The rest are still locked.
Upcoming unlocks:
• August → +20%
• September → +14%
• October → +14%
• November → +28%
By December, the tradable float rises to roughly 40%.
That's a significant increase in available supply.
And it comes while the chart is already under pressure.
If a meaningful portion of newly unlocked shareholders decides to sell, supply could increase sharply.
That's the scenario I'm watching.
I'm staying patient until the major November unlocks are behind us.
Around $85 is the first area where I'll start paying much closer attention.
The biggest opportunities rarely come from chasing hype.
They usually appear after the market has given up.
Turn notifications on.
When I make my first $SPCX buy, I'll post it here first.
Discover
🚨 THE SPACEX TRAP BEGINS ON AUGUST 11.
More than 95% of SpaceX shares are still locked up by insiders.
That means the vast majority of shares still can't be sold.
But that's about to change.
While the market is focused on the August 4 earnings report, I'm watching the lock-up schedule.
The first major unlock begins on August 11.
Since the IPO, $SPCX has already fallen nearly 50%.
Many believe the worst is over.
I think the real test is just beginning.
From that point on, the number of tradable shares is expected to increase gradually:
→ Today: ~5%
→ Aug 11: ~25%
→ Aug 21: ~32%
→ Sep 10: ~39%
→ Sep 25: ~46%
→ Oct 10: ~53%
→ Oct 25: ~60%
→ Nov 9: ~60%
→ Dec 9: ~58–60%
→ Jun 13, 2027: ~100%
Each unlock increases the supply of shares that could become available to the market.
If a meaningful number of insiders decide to sell, selling pressure could increase as well.
Most people are watching earnings.
I'm watching the calendar.
Many high-profile IPOs don't find their true bottom on day one.
They often begin stabilizing only after lock-ups expire and the available share supply expands.
August 11 could become one of the most important dates for $SPCX since its IPO.
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$ETH IS READY TO EXPLODE BEYOND IMAGINATION
Massive bullish pressure building up at support levels. Breakout imminent.
Buy Zone: 1870 - 1885
EP: 1880
TP1: 1920
TP2: 1960
TP3: 2020
SL: 1835
Let's go $ETH
#SPCXStarshipDebate .#DailyOrbit
Everyone is debating whether $SPCX earnings will be good.
I’m asking a different question.
Who’s going to sell when the lock-ups expire?
Right now, more than 95% of SpaceX shares remain locked.
That has helped keep the tradable float extremely tight.
Starting August 11, things going to be change.
Tradable supply doesn’t double. It will increases by 5x.
and it keeps growing through August, September and October before eventually reaching a full float in 2027.
Instead of all this Fud Cathie Wood continues buying every dip.
Six purchases with over $475 million invested.
She is roughly $85 million underwater.
Despite that, she still believes $SPCX could become one of the greatest companies ever built.
She could be right.
But great businesses and great stocks aren’t always the same thing.
The next few months won’t just test the company.
They’ll test whether demand is strong enough to absorb a wave of new supply.
$SPCX IS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS I CALLED
When SpaceX was pumping after IPO, I posted one warning
95% of shares locked, dip buyers about to get wiped out
Since then the stock dropped 50%
Now look at the bigger picture
Rocket Lab 2020: same IPO hype, same 60% flush, same red accumulation box
Institutions loaded that box quietly, then the stock did 6x
SpaceX is entering its own box right now
My plan hasn't changed since day one
Waiting for the unlock wave to clear, my zone stays at $85
The moment I make my first buy, you'll see it here
bee🐝
$SPCX HOLDERS HAVEN'T SEEN THE REAL SELLING YET
Only 4.9% of SpaceX shares trade today
The other 95% are locked
Now look at the unlock schedule:
- Aug: +20%
- Sep: +14%
- Oct: +14%
- Nov: +28%
By December the float hits 40%
That's 8x more supply on a chart that's already bleeding
And here's the scary part
Price is falling while supply is still TIGHT
Imagine what happens when it isn't
Every dip buyer is competing against insiders who bought at cents
I'm not touching this until the November unlock clears
The best entry comes after the last wall falls, not before the first one
$85 is my zone
Patience pays here
FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!
🚨 SPACEX IS DOING EXACTLY WHAT NVIDIA DID BEFORE THE 10X
Overlay the two charts they're nearly identical
NVIDIA crashed 65%+, media called it dead, retail panic-sold the $70 bottom, smart money accumulated quietly
Then $70 → $110 → $150 → $206
Now look at SpaceX same flush, same curve, same $70 zone where everyone walks away in disgust
SPCX already down nearly 50% from highs and most people see a failed IPO
I see the setup that built generational wealth in NVIDIA
The best entries are never comfortable they're the ones that feel like giving up
My plan:
Buy zone: $85-$115
Target: $250+
Not rushing unlocks are still ahead, float is about to expand, and there's likely one more flush before the real base builds
I want the exhaustion the exact moment the last seller gives up
The moment I buy SPCX, this account posts it first
Turn notifications on if you're not following yet, you'll understand why that was a mistake later
SPACEX'S MASSIVE SELL-OFF IS ABOUT TO BEGIN!
Most investors still haven't grasped the terrifying Unlock Schedule of $SPCX coming up.
Currently, only 4.9% of shares are freely tradable, meaning over 95% are still locked.
+ August: Unlock +20%
+ September: Unlock +14%
+ October: Unlock +14%
+ November: Unlock +28%
➔ By December, the circulating float will surge to about 40%, nearly 10 times the current amount.
A huge supply is about to weigh heavily on an already weakening chart. Even a small portion of these shares being dumped will cause the price to plummet uncontrollably.
If you like it, accumulate around the $85 mark, guys
🚨I told you, this dump pattern works every time
And now it's happening on $SPCX .
IPO → massive pump → retail buys → crash → institutional accumulation → new ATH
Here's how it played out:
NVIDIA: $0.05 → $0.55 → $0.08 → $0.90+
Rocket Lab: $10 → $17 → $3 → $32+
Palantir: $10 → $36 → $7 → $58+
SpaceX: $145 → $200 → $112 → $240+ (?)
$SPCX is down nearly 50% from its ATH, but I think there's more downside.
With the right entry, $SPCX could be one of the best plays of 2026.
I'm not looking to buy yet.
The moment I make my first buy, I'll post it HERE.
You'll see it here first. Turn notifications on.
ELON IS QUIETLY SETTING UP HIS BIGGEST MOVE EVER
Everyone's staring at the $SPCX dump and missing what's being assembled
Tesla is set to convert its $2B xAI stake into a direct SpaceX shareholding
The moment that happens, TSLA holders become SpaceX shareholders without buying a single share
That's step one of the SpaceX x Tesla merge
Wedbush puts 80-90% odds on the full merger by 2027
Sounds like hype until you check the precedent
2016: the Tesla x SolarCity merge, everyone called it a bailout
The stock ran +4,828% over the next decade, $10k became half a million
Now the same play is forming at 10x the scale
And the unlock dump everyone's afraid of is handing out the entry
My zone stays $85-$100, a pre-merger price on the biggest structural move of the decade
SolarCity holders waited 10 years for their payoff
This one won't need that long. #EarningsRealityCheck $TSLA $MU $SPCX #KoreaAIChipPush