Post

Coldcard's recent spike in on-chain activity likely reflects user migration, not just attacker movement. The bigger question isn't how much BTC is moving—it's who controls it. Current evidence suggests this was a bounded seed-generation vulnerability, where affected firmware produced wallet secrets that could be guessed for a limited set of devices. Meanwhile, a significant portion of the suspected stolen BTC reportedly remains in attacker-controlled addresses, while smaller amounts have begun moving through peel chains and other services. That distinction matters: 🔹 Defensive wallet migration can temporarily inflate on-chain activity without adding meaningful selling pressure. 🔹 The primary near-term market risk comes from attacker-controlled inventory. If those holdings begin moving to exchanges, they could create localized sell pressure. For now, separating defensive transfers from potential liquidation flows is key when interpreting the on-chain data. $BTC $ETH $SOL #30YrYieldTopOrStart #USJapanYenIntervention #EarningsWeekAhead