Postingan

📊 $SPCX — SHORT COVERING IS STILL IN FOCUS. WHAT’S NEXT? 👀 The August 6 unlock was absorbed better than many expected, but the story isn’t over. $SPCX still has several major unlocking waves ahead, which means potential selling pressure could continue arriving in stages. 📅 Upcoming Unlocks After the first batch of approximately 911.5M shares unlocked on August 6, the market is still facing: 🔹 August 20: ~319M shares 🔹 September: ~700M shares 🔹 October: ~700M shares The broader unlocking process is structured across nine stages and is expected to continue into 2027. Elon Musk and certain other shareholders have extended lock-up periods that reportedly run until next June. 🐻 Shorts Aren’t Gone Yet More than 250M $SPCX shares remain shorted, meaning the short side still has significant exposure. If insiders begin selling aggressively after the unlocks, additional supply could give shorts more confidence. But if the expected selling pressure fails to materialize, shorts could once again become vulnerable to a squeeze. The battle between supply and short covering is far from over. 🔍 My Take The market successfully absorbed the August 6 unlock. Instead of collapsing, the stock actually moved higher. That’s a positive sign—but it doesn’t guarantee that future unlocks will have the same impact. The next waves could be even more significant. The roughly 700M shares expected in both September and October together represent a substantial amount of potential new supply. That’s the real test. At current levels, $SPCX could look cheap or expensive depending on your valuation framework and investment horizon. But with multiple unlock events still ahead, I’m not interested in making a heavy bet yet. For now: 👀 Watch the supply. 📊 Monitor short positioning. ⏳ Wait for the share structure to stabilize. No need to rush in. No need to panic out. Let the market show us how much supply it can actually absorb. $SPCX #CPIToResetFedBets #AIMemorySelloffEases