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alaya lilly
$BTC order flow
> My primary thesis remains unchanged. After hours of ranging, downside pressure finally entered the market.
> With order books this thin, relatively little aggression is needed to move price.
> The initial selling was amplified by long closing and liquidations: Delta and price moved lower while Open Interest declined, indicating that existing positions were being flushed rather than the move being driven purely by fresh short positioning.
> Spot participated in the sell-off as well. Passive bids around 62.2k initially absorbed the pressure, while overall order book pressure remains slightly bid-heavy.
> We’re now seeing a corrective bounce, but positive Delta is coming in on significantly lower volume (still thin books). Spot is involved, though not convincingly enough for me yet. Unless participation strengthens, I still view this as a weak reaction.
If intentional selling initiates and the passive bids fail, price could move quickly through the liquidity clusters toward 61.4k, which remains my next long POI.
-> if bids absorb or buyers show up with intend, i will reassess and wait for my next short trigger$BTC #30YYieldAt19YHigh
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