Posteo

Fed Day this Thursday 2:00 AM ET — forget the rate, watch the script. Market already has a hold priced in. The real volatility comes from 3 lines in the statement: 1. Inflation "Still elevated" = hawkish, pushes September cut back. "Making progress" = dovish, market starts pricing September early. 2. Jobs "Remains strong" = neutral. "Moving toward better balance" = Fed is getting worried about employment. 3. Priority Focus on inflation = hawkish. Focus on jobs = dovish. My take: statement tilts slightly dovish, but Powell at 2:30 AM likely keeps it cautious. Don’t expect a clear September green light. What it means for $BTC: Dovish → USD/yields relax, risk rallies. Target $66K-$67K. Neutral → more chop, wait for data. Hawkish → risk gets sold first. Support at $63K holds the line. Don’t pick a side ahead of time. Wait for the 2:00 AM move, then let Powell’s words at 2:30 AM tell you the next direction. #DailyOrbit #AIEarningsWatch #CXMTDebutShockwave