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The writer believes that BTC and ETH have already reached their major bottoms and that the market could begin moving upward from August. The main idea is: - The extreme panic selling in February may have marked the emotional bottom of this bear market. - BTC, SOL, and other major cryptocurrencies have shown signs of recovery since then. - BTC has been weak since October 2025, while ETH started declining even earlier, meaning a significant amount of the bear-market period has already passed. - Many investors expect one final major drop in October–November, but the writer believes the market may not follow the crowd’s expectations. - According to this view, the broader bottom came in February, while the absolute lows were formed around June–July. - The writer compares this situation with the 2022 market bottom, suggesting that the market may now enter a period of consolidation followed by a stronger upward trend. In short: The writer believes that people waiting for another big crash may miss the recovery because the market may have already bottomed.