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丑丑TX
丑丑TX
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今日多 $ETH 的 3 个理由 20260803: 看多偏向 — ETH 在 7月底从 $1,820 低点反弹至 $1,868,24h 上涨 +1.31%,多个链上和结构性信号支持短期继续做多。 1️⃣现货 ETF 连续三周净流入,机构需求持续 以太坊现货 ETF 已连续三周录得正流入,且在 7月27日当周以太坊 ETF 流入 (+$9.23M) 的同时,比特币 ETF 反而流出 (-$11.64M),形成显著背离。Bitmine 增持 9,946 ETH 至 580万枚(约占流通量 4.8%),Arthur Hayes 自 7月15日以来买入 7,213 ETH(约 $1,387万)。机构和大户的持续买入为 ETH 价格提供了坚实支撑。 2️⃣验证者退出队列清零 + 250万 ETH 等待进场质押,供应锁定 以太坊验证者退出队列已完全清零(此前峰值超过 260万 ETH 等待退出),意味着抛压已经耗尽——"想走的人已经走了"。与此同时,约 250万 ETH 正在排队进入质押(等待期约 43 天),这将大幅减少市场流通供应。卖出压力枯竭叠加供应锁定,构成结构性看多基础。 3️⃣Hyperliquid 永续合约空头过度拥挤,存在逼空潜力 当前 Hyperliquid ETH 永续合约数据显示,Smart Traders 净空 $7.8M、Whales 净空 $24.6M、Public Figures 净空 $56.5M,三大群体合计净空头敞口约 $89M。然而持仓量(OI)高达 $18亿,24h 买入量 $288.5M 略高于卖出量 $281M(净流入 +$7.5M),资金费率仅 +0.000612%/小时(年化 5.36%),处于温和水平。在 ETH 现货 ETF 持续流入和供应锁定的背景下,过度拥挤的空头仓位面临逼空风险——一旦价格突破近期区间上沿 $1,900,空头回补将加速上行。 $ETH
丑丑TX
丑丑TX
3 Reasons to Go Long on $ETH Today 20260802: 1️⃣ Price Structure Today, $ETH is more suitable for buying on dips / scaling in gradually, rather than blindly chasing the rally. Three core reasons: it is more resilient compared to $BTC, spot ETF funds have still been net inflows over the past two weeks, and exchange net outflows indicate weak spot selling pressure. However, derivatives long crowding is not low; if it breaks below the weekly low near $1,834, the long logic needs to be downgraded. 2️⃣ Price Structure $ETH's short-term advantage lies in: it has been almost sideways over the past 7 days but stronger relative to $BTC. As of 2026-08-02 07:00 UTC, $ETH is at $1,875.80, down only -0.19% over 7 days; meanwhile, $BTC is down -1.37% over the same period. This shows that during the market pullback, $ETH's relative strength is better. 3️⃣ ETF Funds The $ETH spot ETF fund flow remains bullish, which is the second reason to go long today. From 2026-07-20 to 2026-07-31 settled data, $ETH ETF net inflows totaled about $113.8M, with 8 out of 10 trading days showing net inflows.

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