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DL_W59
DL_W59
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说说最近的持仓 操作 #WTI #SPCX $CL $SPCX 按照逻辑路径:油价 ---通胀---利率预期--影响风险市场 来吧 先说美伊地缘 影响油价,虽然已接近84美金 但新闻 “美伊已接近达成某种安排” 说明还是在条件互换,只要不继续升级,对于油价就不会刺激上涨 但市场的耐心也有限,看接下来几天能不能有具体安排出来吧 个人觉得不太会持续上涨应该不会很高的。所以依然拿着油价空单,就是用户交易激进,导致费率不太友好,挺让人心疼的。 这波要是能继续下跌,75左右就要择机彻底平了。 再就是今晚CPI数据,目前预期值还是不错的,要是能继续通胀减弱,对于后面加息预期肯定是继续打消,然后可能提升Q4的降息预期 这是利于美股和大饼的。所以我的 #SPCX 也还在拿着,在等今晚,看能不能借住cpi好数据,有无机会突破140,那就准备彻底走了。 市场都在等今晚选方向讷。截止发文目前9月加息预期约 50% 当然,要是cpi大爆冷,甚至地缘又升级,油价回升 那就另外一个故事啦 希望往好的预期方向走吧。 DYOR
DL_W59
DL_W59
Oil prices really have more than 800 directions in a day #WTI $CL Originally surged close to 84, I rode the roller coaster twice again. Just because of the “US and Iran nearing some kind of arrangement,” oil prices dropped sharply accordingly. So what exactly is the arrangement? Although there’s no escalation to conflict, the market’s patience is limited. You can see it from today’s surge. Of course, talks are still ongoing with optimistic expectations, but prices have fallen to around 81. It’s just that the recent few days’ rates have been unfriendly; it’s a pity I didn’t boldly do swing trades. As I told Ni Da today, no escalation, and with CPI announcement coming soon, plus the midterm elections less than three months away, the expectation is that prices probably won’t rise much. But they really need to announce the specific results of the talks soon. I’m still waiting for below 72. However, if this time it falls along the trend, I’ll see the situation; I can’t ride the roller coaster anymore. DYOR

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