Post

"Hot Trader's One-Sentence Market QA" Q: You use on-chain indicators like AHR999 to judge BTC bottoms. Could you share which on-chain indicators you rely on most daily? How do you use them? A: BTC Long-Term Holder Realized Value: This refers to the average cost of bitcoins that have been inactive for over 155 days before being transferred or spent. Historically, in every bear market cycle, BTC falls below the long-term holder realized value. After this drop, starting dollar-cost averaging and buying the dip when the price deviates about 15% is a very good long-term spot holding strategy. Bitcoin NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss): It represents investor sentiment, showing how much profit or loss Bitcoin holders would realize if they sold now. Historically, periods when NUPL is below 0 resonate with the long-term holder indicator bottoms, usually marking a good opportunity to buy Bitcoin spot in large cycles. Short-Term Holder Realized Value: Opposite to long-term holders, these holders have held assets for less than 155 days. This data is more suitable for swing trading during bull markets. After buying spot using the long-term holder realized value strategy, you can use the short-term holder realized value for low-leverage contract trading: go long when it holds, close positions when it breaks, amplifying bull market gains and profiting from trends. #VoiceOfTrading: Your experience deserves to be heard