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CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
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说句不好听的,我现在特别希望韩国这边的情况晚上传导到美股那边去... BTC在低位震荡了这么久了,就差最后一哆嗦了... 之前我猜是 MSTR 或某家二线交易所来引燃导线,后来事实证明这两个路径都不太现实... 所以到头来,应该就只剩金融大背景的影响了... 贝莱德从23号开始带头出货,ETFs最近重新回到每天2亿美元的净流出状态,所以我觉得一波美股大回调带动BTC破个新低,真正开始筑底,是目前最好的剧本了... 目前手上的现金占比来到了80%以上,感谢kaito还帮我赚了一波,熊市里唯一持仓较大的山寨居然拉了400%... 后面就是耐心等待捡尸体的机会了! 虽然最近没怎么赚钱,但币本位计价的账户金额正在破新高,某种意义上来说,也是赚的...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Domestic lithography machines, Chinese storage listings, Chinese large model open source... In the past, these news wouldn't have much impact on the US stock market because the market would think they were fake news, similar to the "Loongson" farce... But now the attitude seems to have changed, with a sense of facing a serious threat... Setting aside whether the lithography machine news is fake or a farce, whether storage and large models have caught up, although not surpassed, they are just annoyingly close... If lithography machines also gradually catch up, and the chip advantage shortens, the entire AI valuation of the US stock market will need to be recalculated... Because most of the premium comes from underlying foundational monopolies, I somewhat believe this news. After all, a year ago, people were already discussing new architectures for China's self-developed lithography machines, a bold and miraculous approach... The fact proves that if you block China, you will only be thoroughly copied, and then China will surpass you from the application layer and seize your market... If you let China use it, there wouldn't be any systemic challenges. After all these years, China still doesn't have a decent operating system, isn't that because of open source? In short, the US stock market hasn't opened yet, so what is said doesn't matter much. We'll know by looking at the market reaction tonight. Nasdaq futures are slightly down, not looking scared at all. Instead, South Korea is the one that has already knelt first...

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