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ANGRYMARK!💸
ANGRYMARK!💸
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AWS在印钞,但资本开支在吞现金 AWS营业利润 166亿美元,大约贡献了集团营业利润的 六成; 但另一边,Amazon过去12个月经营现金流 1614亿美元,物业与设备资本开支同比增加 661亿美元,自由现金流却被压到 -76亿美元。 这正是当下AI交易最值得看的矛盾:利润端是AWS在发电,现金流端是算力和基础设施在吃钱。 市场愿意继续给高估值,不是因为大家忽视了烧钱,而是因为它相信这轮支出会换来更大的云、广告和AI收入池。 谁在AI周期里收钱,谁又在提前垫钱,这才是板块轮动的关键。 #AI巨头债券利差飙升:投资风险还是抄底良机 #谷歌为AI数据中心债务兜底,换取两成股权
ANGRYMARK!💸
ANGRYMARK!💸
US Stock Daily | August 3 | Oil Prices Recede, AI Trading Faces Second Trial
U.S. stocks looked strong last Friday, but internally it was not a broad bull market. The S&P 500 rose 0.70%, the Nasdaq rose 1%, and the Dow Jones rose 0.53%; however, among S&P components, the number of declining stocks was still 1.3 times that of advancing stocks. The index was propped up by a few giants, and market breadth did not keep pace. The chart shows Friday's closing situation, in order: SP500, Nasdaq 100, All stocks. Amazon $AMZN is at the center of this rally. Its stock price surged 15.25% in a single day to $271.58, while Google $GOOGL, Microsoft $MSFT, and Nvidia $NVDA rose 6.71%, 3.01%, and 2.99%, respectively. Amazon delivered its fastest quarterly revenue growth in over four years, easing investors' concerns about runaway AI data center spending. The market is accepting massive capital expenditures but with a stricter condition: computing power must quickly translate into cloud revenue and profits. Apple $AAPL provides a contrasting case. The company warned that supply constraints could drag down growth, and its stock price fell 7.14% to $308.91. Historical performance is no longer enough; the market demands visibility into the next quarter. The divergence between Amazon and Apple illustrates that current valuations reward not the identity of "big tech" but companies that can prove future growth. The problem is, U.S. stocks are still not cheap. The S&P 500 currently trades at about 20 times expected earnings over the next 12 months,

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