Post

Cato_KT
Cato_KT
Influential Creator
Show original
刚下回顾了一下高通的财报,基本上与苹果遇到相同的“困境”,企业非但没有吃上人工智能的红利,反而因为人工智能导致的需求增加,成本上涨,企业利润下降 虽然财报营收超预期,但是利润率在下降,首当其冲的问题就是晶圆成本的增加导致成本上涨 市场方面高通倒是比苹果更加乐观,高通高管表示中国OEM手机业务第三季度已经触底,后续中国业务可能出现恢复,但是需要注意恢复≠爆发,算是对高通业绩有一定的支撑, 但是与苹果的业务合作也超出管理层预期的下降,高通需要尽快找到替代业务来代替评估ode需求,否则后续还会拖累企业 AI方面,高通在汽车芯片与数据中心方面开始发力,高通已经开始在AI领域发力了。 但是很可惜,本季度对企业财报的要求更加严苛,高通的利润被挤压,虽然AI板块在发力但是还未能对企业利润带来一定支撑,导致股价下跌 高通的财报基本证明了一点,AI投资主线正在进一步分化,这也是下周继七巨头财报之后本季度财报季的观察重点,在AI结构分化后,企业如何拿出满意答卷? 另外,高通与苹果一样,中国市场成为目前业务的主要拖累项,且企业利润率反被人工智能供应链紧张的压缩,这是未来Q3-Q4业务相关板块都要面对压力点, 还有就是面对中国人工智能的冲击,意味着除AI头部企业之外,未来利润率压力还是蛮大的!#财报观察员:亚马逊指引不及预期,股价却反涨9%
Cato_KT
Cato_KT
As AI enters a mature stage, index volatility decreases, but the implied volatility (IV) of individual stocks actually increases, especially during the current Q2 earnings season. In this differentiated environment for individual stocks, properly utilizing IV can lead to better returns. This week clearly shows that under the same earnings environment, Microsoft vs META, Amazon vs Apple, the overall earnings results are good, but the market's pricing logic for these companies causes differentiated stock price movements. This situation will become more common in the future, especially in the Q3-Q4 earnings seasons. As the AI narrative moves into structured validation, people will notice index volatility shrinking while individual stock volatility diverges. Therefore, knowing how to profit from volatility is one of the key skills we need to master. Properly using options to earn more IV premiums is beneficial, but the threshold for options is indeed too high for retail investors. However, facing the uncertainty of US stock earnings, this very uncertainty makes IV more valuable. IV implied volatility actually yields higher returns during earnings seasons. The core logic is the uncertainty of earnings. Before earnings announcements, market speculation intensifies, not only expanding option expiration profits but also facilitating asset hedging. This indirectly increases demand for IV and makes premiums more expensive. The basic logic is: increased uncertainty → IV rises → option prices increase → option sellers’ premiums increase → the returns of related option premium products significantly increase. The logic is simple, but for those unfamiliar with options, earning premiums during earnings seasons is very challenging. How to choose strike prices? How to interpret IV? How to select expiration dates? How to calculate margin? How to distinguish the Greeks? These are all questions. So, while option premiums look attractive, the barrier to earning this money is indeed high! @okxchinese’s "US Stock Dual Currency Win" actually turns complex option logic into a set of easier-to-understand and easier-to-use strategic tools! The essence of Dual Currency Win is strictly executing a trading plan, and if the plan is not fulfilled, you can still earn some option premiums. The Dual Currency Win model sets a trading plan first. For example, for NVDA, my buy price is $150, sell price $250. When the price hits $150, it automatically buys; when it hits $250, it automatically sells. If the price fluctuation range does not reach my expected range, my funds can earn premium income during this period. In conclusion, for ordinary investors like us, facing earnings uncertainty, instead of blindly betting on ups and downs, we should protect our principal and strictly follow a trading plan. Especially during long waits, how silent funds earn returns is very important. This return may not be as high as investment returns but is more stable. In the investment market, most things are full of uncertainty. Under uncertainty, identifying direction is important, but making assets grow steadily with low risk is even more important! #财报观察员:亚马逊指引不及预期,股价却反涨9%

Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more

Replies

No comments yet. Be the first to reply!