Web山大王
Web山大王
长期关注 Crypto、AI、美股与宏观趋势。 相信 BTC 是数字黄金，也相信市场与万物皆有周期。坚持以价值发现为锚、以周期思维应对波动；OKB Holder，长期主义践行者。 专属社群已开启，点击右上角「群聊」即可加入。群内定期分享市场观点、交易策略与福利活动，期待与你一起交流、洞见周期。
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The weekend just ended like this! This market is really damn painful. ☹️ Now the whole market sentiment has dropped to extreme fear territory, and everyone feels like the sky is falling.
But history has repeatedly proven that when everyone is afraid, it's often the time to buy cheap.
$BTC just dropped to sixty thousand, down nearly 20% in a week, directly damn back to the low levels from a few months ago, with support levels being broken one after another.
$ETH has fallen below two thousand all the way, dropping more than ten percent in the past few days, even weaker than Bitcoin, full of selling pressure, completely out of rhythm. The fear index has dropped to single digits, and the whole market is wailing.
With prices falling like this, if it's just short-term sentiment and the drag from the US stock market, it's already hard to convince people. It seems that there will be little chance of a big rally by the end of the year!
The cryptocurrency market and US stocks have been anything but calm over the weekend! 😮💨 The expectation of interest rate hikes is growing stronger, the meeting minutes are about to be released, and geopolitical issues keep stirring things up from time to time. Everyone in the group is guessing whether the market will continue to crash at tomorrow's open or if there will be a rebound? 🤔️
Right now, uncertainty is at its peak. Most people believe the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in December has surged to nearly 90%, which could directly impact the market trend in the coming days.
$BTC has dropped sharply these past few days, hitting a low near $62,000, and is now around $64,000 to $65,000. Short-term bulls have been liquidated heavily, and funding rates are leaning bearish. Spot ETFs have seen net outflows for several consecutive days, with institutions retreating. If the support around $62,000 to $63,000 holds in the short term, a small rebound might be possible.
$ETH has fallen even more, dropping near $1,800, with a low around $1,710, a bigger decline than Bitcoin. The RSI has entered oversold territory, and funding rates show stronger bearish sentiment for ETH compared to BTC. Support is roughly between $1,780 and $1,750, and if it breaks lower, it will test around $1,700.
Volatility on Monday will definitely be significant. We will have a clearer direction after Nvidia's results and the release of the meeting minutes.
Yesterday the market rebounded recently, and many people started eyeing those messy altcoins again! 😂 Afraid of missing the next wave of getting rich.
The US just released the October PPI data, with a monthly increase of 0.3%, but the annual increase reached 6.5%, the highest in nearly four years. This indicates that inflation pressure has not truly eased, and expectations for a Fed rate hike in December remain strong.
$BTC once dropped to around 62006 in the early morning, hitting a four-month low, which scared the market badly, and the fear index maxed out. It then quickly V-shaped back up, now hovering around 64800-65200, still down a few points in 24 hours. The lower Bollinger band and short-term moving averages near 67000 are key. RSI has fallen into the oversold zone, showing short-term rebound momentum, but overall bears dominate, and funding rates are also bearish.
$ETH dropped to a low of 1711, breaking below the previous 30-day low, now rebounding to just above 1800. The drop is clearly larger than Bitcoin’s, RSI has fallen below 20, indicating severe overselling. The MACD bearish alignment is still expanding. Short-term support is first seen at 1750-1780; if broken, it could fall to support near 1600.
Given the recent macro situation and exchange hacks, it feels like there won’t be any big moves in the crypto space in the short term! Does the crypto four-year cycle still hold?! 🤔️
The weekend market really messes people up. After the big drop, there was suddenly a rebound, and people in the group started wondering if all the bad news is already out? 🤔️ Does that mean no more interest rate hikes? 🤔️
The price just climbed out of the pit, which only means some people are buying at low levels to take over positions; it doesn't represent the Fed's stance.
$BTC first crashed down from over 70,000, breaking through key support levels like 65,000 and 63,000, hitting a low near 62,000. The drop was so bad it made people want to curse. Then suddenly a bunch of buy orders appeared at the bottom, pulling it up from the pit, now around 64,000-65,000. It looks like a rebound, but it’s still below all moving averages.
$ETH fell even harder than Bitcoin, once dropping below 1,750, hitting a low near 1,710, scaring many into selling off. Fortunately, it later rebounded about 6%, back to just over 1,800. But the rebound volume is weak, and funding rates remain bearish, clearly a sign of short covering.
The real bottom-fishers probably haven’t come in much yet. Both sides are still in a large downtrend channel; RSI is oversold but oversold conditions can persist, and history has shown this more than once or twice. 😅 Weekends really don’t give people a break!
Today, the crypto market got slammed again. 🙄️
People in the group think it must be the Fed hiking rates causing the trouble! Is that really the case? 🤔️
October US inflation data exceeded expectations, with core CPI rising another 0.3%, pushing the December rate hike probability to over 90%.
$BTC is currently priced around 65,000 to 67,000, having dipped to 65,000 at the lowest, just a step away from the August low. The 200-day moving average is near 73,000, now a major resistance overhead. Support levels to watch are 66,000 first; if broken, it could head straight to 65,000 or even lower.
$ETH has already fallen below 1900, hitting a low of 1800, with a weekly drop close to 18% 😱. It’s tightly correlated with Bitcoin but falls even harder. RSI is oversold, breaking key trend lines and previous buy zones. Support is first at 1850; if that breaks, it will test 1700.
Right now isn’t the time to bottom-fish; it’s a time to observe. We need to see if a bottoming signal emerges! We want to trade high-probability opportunities to truly capture the profits we want 💰
Why is the crypto market crashing like this? 🤔️
Lately, watching the market makes you want to smash your phone! Dropping more than ten points in a week, there has to be a reason, right?
The Democrats gained an advantage in the US midterm elections, and the market has been worried about stricter crypto regulations. On top of that, inflation data came in hotter than expected, pushing the Fed's December rate hike probability sharply higher. Treasury yields have risen above 5%! Risk assets have no chance!
$BTC dropped from around 68,000 to about 64,000 today, now at 65,000. The weekly chart has broken the support near the August low. In the short term, 65,000 is a key level; breaking it could lead to 60,000 or even lower. On a rebound, 70,000 is the first resistance.
$ETH fell from over 2,000 to over 1,800, with a weekly drop clearly larger than BTC's. Support is around 1,800-1,870; breaking that might test 1,700. Both are in oversold territory, but bearish momentum hasn't fully released yet, so rebounds are likely to be hit again.
The market is crashing like this mainly due to macro pressure, institutional withdrawals, and leveraged liquidations all happening at once. What do you think?
The crypto market is plunging again and again, seriously affecting sleep quality! 😮💨 Who is crazily dumping? 🤔️
US inflation data once again exceeded expectations, prices keep rising, and the market quickly raised the probability of a Fed rate hike in December, with some even betting on a direct 50 basis point increase!
$BTC has been hammered from over 70,000 down to around 66,000, hitting a nearly three-month low, with multiple key support levels broken. The daily chart shows continuous decline, and the market looks really grim.
$ETH has directly fallen below 2000, currently around 1890. The market looks terrible, with bulls almost completely liquidated. When leverage bursts, prices accelerate downward, and this kind of stampede is painful to watch.
The weekend is no less restless... ☹️
Hope next week will be stronger! Better to watch the market less and sleep more.
#美国10月PPI低于预期，12月加息预期仍强劲
The most desperate and panicked moments in the market might actually be the times when we should stay the most calm and rational.🤔️
Right now, the crypto market fear and greed index has dropped from 28 to around 20. Many people feel like the crypto world is doomed. But actually, when panic spreads, it might be the quiet moment when crypto assets are being quietly exchanged.
$BTC has fallen quite sharply these days, raising blood pressure!😅 It dropped from around 80,000 to about 67,000, breaking all short-term supports, and is clearly still probing lower.
$ETH is just as bad, already below 2000, hovering around 1900, dragged down together with Bitcoin, with even bigger volatility. It looks scary, as if the bear market has really returned.
When everyone is panicking and the market is smashed to pieces, it might actually be the time when the smart money quietly enters. Do we really think crypto is doomed!?🤔️
The crypto market has really cooled off these past few days! 😓 Accounts have been shrinking continuously, and many people in the group are starting to doubt whether this bull market is completely over.
Whenever there's a slight macroeconomic disturbance, it easily crashes down. The US October CPI came in hotter again, US Treasury yields surged directly, and the market immediately pulled back the Fed's December rate hike expectations. Naturally, the crypto market followed the decline.
$BTC is oscillating narrowly between 66,000 and 68,000, RSI has entered oversold territory, the key support below is at 65,000, and it needs to hold above 70,000 on the upside to have a chance.
$ETH broke below 1900, indicating a bearish bias, with support around 1850, and 2000 is the first hurdle for a short-term rebound. Currently, prices are below the main moving averages, and the bearish arrangement has not yet fully reversed.
If the short-term rebound lacks incremental funds to take over, it’s easy to spike up and then fall back. The end of the year looks tough, huh!? 🤔️
The recent market drop is driving people crazy😫! Many in the group are starting to wonder if we're heading into another long bear market. Actually, what the market fears most is no news and no expectations.
Fortunately, the APEC summit is coming next week, which might bring some hope to global risk assets, a rare external positive lately.
$BTC is fluctuating around 68,000, with RSI oversold at about 25. Short-term support is seen at 67,500-68,000; holding this level could allow for a rebound. The resistance above is first at 70,000, and only a breakout there can target 73,000-76,000.
$ETH fell below 2,000 and is around 1,930, with support near 1,900. Resistance is first at 2,000, then it could reach 2,200.
The weekend is coming again; hopefully, next week will perform well! This market is really torturing! Wishing everyone a happy weekend!
#美联储鹰派信号密集释放，12月加息节奏分歧显现
