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tvbee
tvbee
Influential Creator
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蜂兄可能要被打脸了,BTC7万附近可能不是底 BTC日线收针了,USDT场外价格涨了。可能有反弹,但是BTC不像触底。 第一,今年2月、6-7月这两次下探,都不止一根针。 第二,RSI14,现在刚跌破30,目前是26.27还没到25以下,比今年一探和二探也还是差一些。 第三,为什么不能像今年2月那一波直接到底? 因为今年2月USDT+USDC总市值比底部比BTC底部大约早1周时间,后面BTC再跌,资金是流入的。所以BTC后面再跌有资金接住。 但今年6~7月这一波,USDT+USDC总市值和BTC差不多同步下跌。 目前更像今年6~7月。 当然 ,刻舟6~7月的话会有反弹。 第四,川普普刚刚拒绝了和伊朗协议,美伊和油价这又没有好消息。 第五,月底的PCE、12月发布的非农数据、CPI、重点是议息会议的点阵图,这些有可能会给新低制造一些理由。 重点是点阵图,12月加息没有悬念了,12月点阵图要观察明年加息的预测是更鹰还是更鸽。 蜂兄最新的观察是认为底部会在6~7月的底部附近。(分批抄底,已经开始买了,接了点ETH、DBR、SUI) 希望这次乌鸦嘴不准,希望现在就是底
tvbee
tvbee
Want to change my avatar, no more bees, let's switch to a crow, lately I've been a jinx. Said there would be three dips, Said the bull hasn't arrived, Said the midterm elections would be a rebound, not a reversal,, Said the October CPI data would exceed expectations,, Said it would drop to around 70,000, which is the 2021 high. Begging it not to fall anymore, if it falls again it'll be a slap in the face, I wasn't afraid of those before, just afraid if it keeps falling this time it won't just be a slap in the face, it'll hurt the wallet too.😭 Willing to offer 60 jin of meat to see BTC bottom out! 😂

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