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CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
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国产光刻机、中国储存上市、中国大模型开源... 放在以前,这些消息对美股不会有什么太大的影响,因为市场会认为都是假消息,类似“龙芯”那样的闹剧... 但现在似乎态度变了,有点如临大敌的感觉了... 先不说光刻机是不是假消息闹剧,储存和大模型是不是被追赶上了,虽然没有超越,但就是贴着恶心你... 如果光刻机也慢慢追上,芯片的优势也被缩短,整个美股的AI估值都要全部重新计算... 因为大部分溢价来自底层基础垄断,我是有点相信这个消息的,毕竟1年前就有人讨论中国自研光刻机的新架构了,属于力大砖飞,大力出奇迹的玩法... 事实证明,你封锁中国,只会被山寨的体无完肤,然后中国从应用层面赶超你,抢你的市场... 你要是放任中国使用,反而不会有什么系统性的挑战,这么多年了,中国也没有一个像样的操作系统,还不是因为开源? 总之,现在美股没开盘,说什么都不重要,晚上看市场反应就知道了,纳指期货小幅下跌,并不像受到惊吓的样子,反倒是韩国这边先跪了...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Sympathies to the futures bulls (including myself), just when we wanted to go all in... We got hit hard instead... The spot premium hasn't rebounded significantly after the crash, indicating not many futures shorts have entered. $BTC is currently a battle between spot shorts and futures bulls... Last night I guessed Koreans were starting to return to crypto, but this morning I saw the Korean index plunge and trigger a circuit breaker, so let me guess again—did they sell BTC today to cover stock margin calls?

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