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(浩泽)
(浩泽)
🔥 The market is NOT crashing — it’s rotating. 别急着追跌。 Right now, the biggest mistake is thinking that because some AI names are cooling off, the whole AI bull market is over. Not really. The S&P has already rallied nearly 500 points from the FOMC low, closing around 7757, and now it’s basically chilling in the 7700–7800 high-range. 看起来位置已经很高了,但 options structure 目前依然偏 bullish。 This week, Gamma is heavily concentrated around 7700–7800, with positive skew extending toward 8000. Capital flow is also interesting — mainly selling Puts + buying Calls. 简单说: 👉 下方有人接 👉 上方还有资金在押 breakout 👉 市场暂时没有明显的 panic And VIX? Still under 15. 过去几个月一个很明显的 pattern: 每次 VIX 快速冲到 20附近,很快就被卖下来。 So unless volatility actually breaks out, I’d still treat a pullback as high-level consolidation, not automatically the start of a deep correction. 🔄 The real story right now: SECTOR ROTATION 现在最明显的不是全面上涨,而是 money rotation。 AI hardware 涨了一大段,现在开始休息。 Meanwhile: 💻 Software is taking over 🤖 Mag 7 remains strong ☁️ New Cloud is heating up 🚀 Space is getting attention ⚛️ Quantum is showing rebound potential 🪙 Gold is strengthening again 这才是现在市场真正有意思的地方。 Not everything needs to pump at the same time. 🧠 What about AI Infrastructure? 尤其是 MU。 MU 从高位回调不少,但目前更像是 bottoming + consolidation,并没有看到整个 AI Infrastructure thesis 被破坏。 只要关键 800–900 range 还能守住,我暂时不会轻易说 AI memory bull market is over. For a real restart, I’d want to see MU reclaim and hold above the daily EMA 21. 换句话说: Pullback ≠ Bull market over. 🪙 Gold also deserves attention Gold 已经开始出现 bottoming signs。 GLD 重新站回关键 moving averages,并回到 400附近的重要区域。 Options flow 里面 Put Selling 也比较明显,说明下方仍然有一定 support。 短期我更倾向于 380–400 consolidation → 再寻找向上的机会。 🎯 My approach right now I’m still leaning toward buying the dip, but NOT blindly chasing green candles. Options income strategy: S&P → Sell Puts IWM → Sell Puts GLD → Sell Puts Longer-dated Puts → hedge tail risk If you want more aggressive exposure, September 18 Calls could be interesting in selected sectors. #DailyOrbit

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