
Publikovat
Dr.Toxic🚩
Gold keeps hitting new all-time highs, U.S. stock indices are steadily strengthening, but cryptocurrencies remain stuck in sideways consolidation, with Bitcoin and Ethereum narrowly trading sideways for a full 13 trading days.
Many wonder why Bitcoin can't break out despite the strong momentum in external markets.
Currently, BTC is range-bound between $62,000 and $65,000, while Ethereum hovers around $1,870. Bulls and bears are locked in extreme balance, with three major competing factors at play.
First, there is a clear divergence in capital flows. U.S. institutional funds continue to reduce holdings and exit, while Asian funds buy on dips. Coinbase Bitcoin negative premium has persisted for 80 days, setting a record for the longest duration. Capital is hedging back and forth, making it difficult for prices to trend unilaterally. Even though spot ETFs have accumulated $626 million inflows in August, most are short-term arbitrage funds that exit after realizing profits. Genuine long-term incremental capital inflows are limited and insufficient to drive a trend.
Second, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy remains undecided. Internal officials are divided, with ongoing debates between rate hikes and pauses. Market expectations for the timing of rate cuts fluctuate repeatedly. Macro uncertainty suppresses risk asset valuations, leading capital to wait and watch for key data like CPI to provide signals.
Third, regulatory news impact has already been priced in. The CLARITY crypto bill vote has been postponed to September 14, significantly reducing the likelihood of passage this year. When the shelving news broke in July, the market had already completed a round of downward adjustment. This official delay announcement is a typical case of bad news fully absorbed, making it unlikely to trigger large volatility again.
Sideways consolidation is the process of the market spring continuously building tension.
The key level for the next move is at $BTC $BTC BTC $ETHFI H $XAU #AIMemorySelloffEases #BTCETHETFInflowsReturn #SP500Eyes8000
Zřeknutí se odpovědnosti: Obsah v síti OKX Orbit je poskytován pouze pro informační účely. Další informace
Odpovědi
Zatím žádné komentáře. Odpovězte jako první!
Aktuální informace z trhu
1#CPIInLineFedWatch


2#AIInfraEarningsWatch
3#Gold4400HavenBid