المنشور

$BTC is still defending $64K to $64,200, and the next direction comes down to three things happening at once: the Fed, ETF money, and August. Macro is tilting in our favor. Jobs data came in softer, ADP missed, and now the market is betting the Fed goes softer too. Yields are dropping, the dollar is weakening, and that’s exactly the setup risk assets love. With geopolitics calmer and oil steady, appetite for risk is creeping back into both equities and crypto. On the institution side, spot Bitcoin ETFs are stabilizing. We’re back to net positive inflow days. Corporates aren’t selling either. Treasuries keep building $BTC reserves, which puts a real bid under the market even if retail is sitting on their hands. Now the August problem. Historically it’s a quiet month with about a 4.3% average pullback. To fight that, $BTC has to reclaim and hold $64,800 to $65,500. Lose $63,800 and we likely retest liquidity down near $62,200. So here’s the call for this month. Will fresh ETF inflows and dovish macro push us through $65K, or does old August seasonality win and keep us range bound. What’s your bias on $BTC this month. #DailyOrbit #SpaceXUnlockRebound #FedHawksVsWeakJobs #AIMemoryBullTest $BICO $SPCX