#SpaceXUnlockLooms

Is SpaceX safe just because it rose 6%? Last night, $SPCX surged from around $105 to $116, finally closing at $114.53, up nearly 6%. This bullish candle is strong, but I think it's still too early to call it a reversal. Tonight is SpaceX's first quarterly report since going public, but the real challenge lies ahead: on August 6, up to 911.5 million old shares will become eligible for sale. Based on the current stock price, this corresponds to a market value of about $104.4 billion. To be clear, the unlocking is not a new issuance, nor does it mean these shares will definitely be sold. It won't increase the total share capital out of thin air; what changes is the supply of tradable shares in the market. Currently, SpaceX's float is about 640 million shares, and the shares to be unlocked exceed the current float. If all enter the market, the tradable supply could theoretically increase by about 142%. This is the biggest pressure after the earnings report. SpaceX's financials are interesting. In 2025, revenue is $18.674 billion, up 33.2% year-over-year; adjusted EBITDA reached $6.584 billion, and operating cash flow was $6.785 billion. Looking at these alone, it doesn't seem like a poorly performing company. But on the other hand, the net loss for the year was $4.937 billion. Adding up the data disclosed by the three business segments, capital expenditures in 2025 have already exceeded $20.7 billion. The money is mainly burned on Starship, the Starlink satellite network, and AI data centers. Among them, the connectivity business where Starlink operates is actually quite profitable: annual revenue of $11.387 billion, operating profit of $4.423 billion. The real drag is the AI business, with an operating loss of $6.355 billion in 2025. So tonight, don't just focus on whether revenue beats expectations. More importantly, watch whether Starlink's profits can continue to grow, whether the burn rate of AI and Starship slows down, and whether management What do you think? $SPCX #财报观察员：AMD与SpaceX交卷在即，Circle压轴 #dailyorbit#ISMBeatYieldsFall #KoreaETFVolDown90

$SpaceX Unlock Looms: A Potential Liquidity Event for Wall Street The upcoming SpaceX lock-up expiration is drawing close attention from investors, with more than 911.5 million insider shares expected to become eligible for trading following the company's earnings release. If a significant portion of those shares is sold, the resulting increase in supply could create short-term volatility and weigh on investor sentiment. The effects may extend beyond SpaceX. High-growth and momentum-driven sectors—including AI and semiconductor leaders such as $NVDA, $AMD, $TSLA, $META, and $PLTR—could see increased price swings if investors reduce exposure to riskier assets. Periods of uncertainty often trigger rotations into more defensive sectors, putting pressure on richly valued technology stocks. On the other hand, a strong earnings report combined with limited insider selling could reinforce confidence in the growth sector. That outcome would likely support AI leaders, semiconductor companies, and other technology names while improving overall market sentiment. Because crypto assets often trade in line with technology stocks during risk-on periods, stronger confidence in equities could also provide a tailwind for Bitcoin and the broader digital asset market. For now, investors are focused on two key catalysts: • The strength of SpaceX's earnings. • The market's reaction to the lock-up expiration. Together, these events could determine whether this is simply a temporary liquidity event or the start of a broader shift in market positioning. Stay focused on liquidity, earnings, and market reactions—not just headlines. Follow for more updates and analysis on Crypto and Wall Street. $NVDA $AMD $TSLA $META $PLTR $BTC $ETH #SpaceXUnlockLooms #KoreaChipSelloff #MicronShortSqueeze #AI #Stocks #Crypto #WallStreet

SpaceX Unlock Looms: A Liquidity Shock That Could Ripple Across Wall Street The upcoming SpaceX lock-up expiration is shaping up to be one of the most important events for U.S. equities this month. With more than 911.5 million insider shares becoming eligible for trading after the company's earnings release, investors are preparing for a potential surge in selling pressure and a sharp increase in market volatility. The impact extends far beyond SpaceX itself. If heavy insider selling pushes the stock lower, it could weigh on sentiment across high-growth and momentum-driven sectors. Companies closely tied to innovation and AI—including $NVDA, $AMD, $TSLA, $META, and $PLTR—may experience short-term volatility as investors rotate away from richly valued growth names toward safer assets. On the other hand, if SpaceX delivers stronger-than-expected earnings and insider selling remains limited, the event could restore confidence in large-cap technology and reignite risk appetite across Wall Street. That scenario would likely benefit AI leaders, semiconductor stocks, and growth-focused sectors while also improving sentiment in the crypto market, where risk assets often move alongside technology equities. For now, investors are watching two key catalysts: the earnings report and the market's reaction to the lock-up expiration. Together, they could determine whether this becomes a temporary liquidity event—or the beginning of a broader shift in market positioning. Follow me for the latest updates and in-depth analysis on Crypto and Wall Street. $NVDA #SpaceXUnlockLooms #KoreaChipSelloff #MicronShortSqueeze

🚨 One event could test risk appetite across the market this month. A large block of SpaceX insider shares is expected to become eligible for trading after the company's earnings release, and investors are watching closely. Why does it matter? If a meaningful number of insiders decide to sell, it could pressure sentiment around high-growth and momentum stocks—even if the selling has little to do with the company's long-term outlook. Names like $NVDA, $AMD, $TSLA, $META, and $PLTR could see higher short-term volatility as investors reassess risk. But there's another side to the story. If SpaceX delivers strong results and insider selling remains limited, confidence in growth stocks could improve, supporting AI leaders, semiconductor names, and potentially even crypto as risk appetite strengthens. Right now, the market is watching two things: 📌 The earnings report. 📌 How investors react once shares become eligible to trade. Sometimes it's not the event itself that moves markets. It's how investors respond to it. Follow for more crypto and Wall Street insights. $NVDA #SpaceXUnlockLooms #KoreaChipSelloff #MicronShortSqueeze #DailyOrbit

🚨 This could be the biggest week yet for $SPCX. And it's not just about earnings. Everyone is focused on today's earnings report, but the event that could really shake the stock comes just days later. After today's market close, $SPCX will report its first quarterly earnings as a public company. The stock has already had a wild ride: 📉 Trading around $105 • ~20% below its IPO price of $135 • More than 50% below its all-time high near $225 The options market is pricing in a ~13% move after earnings, so traders are clearly expecting volatility. But here's what I'm watching even more closely... August 6. That's when up to 911 million insider and early investor shares—worth roughly $120B at current prices—are expected to become eligible for trading as the lockup expires. Does that mean everyone will sell? No. But it does mean a huge amount of potential supply could suddenly enter the market, and that's something investors can't ignore. This week isn't just about whether earnings beat expectations. It's about how the market digests one of the largest lockup expirations we've seen in years. 👀 Big opportunity... or more pressure ahead? What's your take? #DailyOrbit

I've always wanted to buy $SPCX, but don't rush to buy yet, wait for the Q2 earnings report to come out. SpaceX will announce its Q2 2026 earnings. The company plans to release quarterly financial and operational data after the U.S. market closes on August 4. This might be a highly watched tech growth earnings report by the market. Currently, the market expects SpaceX Q2 revenue to be around $BTC 6.88 billion, but it is still in a high investment phase, so profitability will be a key focus. In the next decade, the focus might be on AI computing power, energy, satellites, robotics, and space infrastructure. And SpaceX is becoming one of the most important nodes in this industry chain. But let's wait for it to drop a bit more; I see a bottom-buy opportunity around 80, and will build a position below 100. #30YrYieldTopOrStart #USJapanYenIntervention #EarningsWeekAhead

🚨 A major week is ahead for $SPCX. Today, $BTC SPCX is scheduled to release its first quarterly earnings report as a publicly traded company after the U.S. market closes. The stock is trading near $BTC 105, around 20% below its IPO price of $BTC 135 and more than 50% beneath its all-time high near $225. 📊 The options market is currently implying roughly a 13% post-earnings move, highlighting expectations for elevated volatility. However, the bigger story may arrive on August 6. Up to 911 million insider and early investor shares—valued at approximately $120 billion at current prices—are expected to become eligible for trading as the lockup period expires. That doesn't guarantee selling, but it significantly increases the potential supply that could enter the market, making it a key event for investors to monitor. This week could be defined not only by earnings, but also by how the market reacts to one of the largest lockup expirations in recent memory. #FedSplitGoesPublic #BigTechEarningsWatch #PalantirBeatAndRaise

The next 72 hours could define $SPCX's next major move. Two key events are lining up back-to-back: August 4: First earnings report August 6: 20% share unlock The stock has already fallen from 225 to 108, losing more than half its value and even breaking below its initial trading price of 150. The market already knows the story—rockets, Starlink, commercialization. That's not the question anymore. The real question is: Who’s still willing to buy at these levels? If the earnings report brings nothing new, the upcoming unlock could add short-term selling pressure. But if earnings exceed expectations, capital could start pricing in the growth story again, and those unlocked shares may not necessarily flood the market. I'm neither bullish nor bearish here. I'm watching three things: ✅ Does the earnings report introduce new growth drivers? ✅ Is there real selling pressure after the unlock? ✅ Can the stock reclaim and hold higher levels? The next few days should provide the answers. #DailyOrbit

BIG DAY FOR $SPCX TODAY SpaceX reports its first ever earnings tonight. 34% of its shares are already shorted going in. Traders have built $24.6 billion of short positions in the weeks since the IPO, more than Tesla's $21 billion that took over 15 years to accumulate. But the bigger issue is what happens two days later. On August 6, up to 20% of the company, around 911 million shares held by insiders, becomes eligible to sell. That lands on a stock that has already lost $1.2 trillion in market cap since its June IPO and trades 46% below its high of $225.64. What investors are watching tonight: AI capacity. SpaceX is expected to build 2 GW this year. Google and Anthropic account for 35% of it. Both could eventually move back to their own data centres, and SpaceX still needs buyers for the remaining 65%. Starship. Flight 13 deployed satellites and restarted its engine in space, but came down in the ocean far from the launch site. Recovery at the pad is what makes reuse possible, and reuse is the whole cost argument. Starlink. Whether SpaceX partners with existing mobile carriers or builds its own network. Building one is expensive and puts it in direct competition with the big carriers. Strong results could bring in enough buyers to absorb the unlock. Weak results land on a stock that is already heavily shorted. $SPCX

$SPCX reached the first resistance level at 118 in pre-market, which was the level it failed to break through from last Tuesday to Thursday. If the earnings report is good enough, it could jump to the 122-130 range immediately. If it is strong enough, during the unlocking gap on the 5th, it could reach the 133-138 range. If there is no selling pressure after the unlocking on the 6th and the market panic expectation is fully digested, it may continue to rise to 140+.#FedSplitGoesPublic #BigTechEarningsWatch #PalantirBeatAndRaise