المنشور

🚨 History Doesn't Repeat Exactly—But It Often Rhymes. Back in 2018, the SEC rejected a spot Bitcoin ETF while $BTC was trading around $8,500. The market reacted sharply, sending Bitcoin down to $3,128—a decline of roughly 63%. Yet that correction didn't mark the end. Over the following three years, Bitcoin rallied more than 2,100%, eventually reaching an all-time high near $69,000 in 2021. Today, the market is watching another potential turning point: the U.S. CLARITY Act. If the legislation were to face significant setbacks or fail to advance, it's possible the market could see a strong short-term risk-off reaction. A 30–50% correction wouldn't be unprecedented, which could place Bitcoin somewhere in the $30K–$40K range. At the same time, history suggests that major corrections have often laid the groundwork for the next long-term expansion. From my perspective, if Bitcoin's long-term adoption trend continues, prices above $300K by 2029 remain a plausible long-term scenario—though there are no guarantees. The biggest opportunities often emerge when fear is at its peak, but every cycle is different. NFA. Always DYOR. #Fed3Dissents #MSFTCutsCapex